Citizen G'kar: Musings on Earth

June 05, 2005

US "Intelligence" Claims Iran Is Harboring Terrorists

Evidence points to terrorists hiding in Iran - Terrorism & Security - MSNBC.com
U.S. intelligence this week has been checking some reports, still uncorroborated as of Friday, that Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, al-Qaida’s leader of the Iraqi insurgency, may have dipped into Iran, officials said.


On Wednesday, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld warned countries in the Middle East not to help al-Zarqawi. “Were a neighboring country to take him in and provide medical assistance or haven for him, they, obviously, would be associating themselves with a major linkage in the al-Qaida network and a person who has a great deal of blood on his hands,” Rumsfeld said.


The U.S. and foreign officials said evidence gathered by intelligence agencies indicates the following figures are somewhere in Iran, perhaps under some form of house arrest or surveillance:


* Saad bin Laden, the son of the al-Qaida leader whom U.S. authorities have aggressively hunted since the Sept. 11 attacks.
* Saif al-Adel, an al-Qaida security chief wanted in connection with the deadly 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Africa.
* Suleiman Abu Ghaith, the chief of information for al-Qaida and a frequently quoted spokesman for bin Laden.

US Intelligence is certainly a "reliable source". I'd be willing to bet the foreign source is Israel and perhaps MEK, both with major axes to grind in Iran. Clearly, this is just building the case to increase pressure on Iran and continue quietly tampering internally with Special Forces operatives.
As for "harboring" Zarqawi, I think that's very unlikely. Zarqawi has been deliberately attempting to spark a civil war in Iraq. I fail to see how Iran would benefit from an Iraqi civil war when it's new ally controls the government. Besides I agree with Juan Cole. Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi has been elevated by the Bush administration to an almost mythical figure in an attempt to demonize the insurgency by putting his face on it. He is a loud mouth minor leader who is leading more of a propaganda war than a fomenter of much of the violence in Iraq. That simply isn't true. The Baathists or Iraqi nationalists are responsible focusing their effort on trying to drive the US out and undermining the new government. The Bush Administration seems to have correctly concluded that they are losing the war in Iraq and have created an ally for Iran. So, rather than cutting their losses, they think by destabilizing Iran, they can consolidate their failing invasion in Iraq.
I suspect they will only make the situation worse. They will be unable to mount an effective support of an Iranian insurgency and will in fact create the conditions for the majority of Iranians to coalesce around the Mullahs against a meddling US. It's very possible that the Iraqi civil war already is unstoppable and shaping up into a battle between Shiites and Sunni's.
The US may find itself in the bizarre position of eventually backing the Baathist insurgency along with the surrounding Sunni countries against the Iranian proxy in Iraq. China and Russia already have a strategic relationship with Iran and they may well support them in a regional conflict.
What incentive does Iran have to allow peace to return to Afghanistan? A second front against the beleagered Americans would just make imposing their will easier in Iraq. With the US building a strategic relationship with India, I'm sure Pakistan are less than believing of similar promises from the US, and are continuing to play both sides against the middle and are supporting along with Iran the various Taliban holdouts in Afghanistan. Things could get pretty ugly in the Middle East.


Complete Articles
MSNBC.com
Evidence points to terrorists hiding in Iran
Intelligence mounts on al-Qaida suspects sheltered by Tehran
By Katherine Shrader and John Solomon
The Associated Press
Updated: 2:00 p.m. ET June 4, 2005
WASHINGTON - Mounting evidence gathered over several years has U.S. and foreign intelligence agencies increasingly convinced that leading terror suspects have been living in Iran.
Their existence in the Islamic republic poses an ongoing problem to top Bush administration officials, who have warned Middle Eastern countries against providing shelter or other aid to terrorists.
The evidence includes communications by a fugitive mastermind of the 1996 Khobar Towers bombing and the capture of a Saudi militant who appeared in a video in which Osama bin Laden confirmed he ordered the Sept. 11 attacks, according to U.S. and foreign officials.
They spoke on condition of anonymity because much of the evidence remains classified.
Detained cleric yields information
Saudi intelligence officers tracked and apprehended Khaled bin Ouda bin Mohammed al-Harbi last year in eastern Iran, officials said. The arrest came nearly three years after the cleric had appeared with bin Laden and discussed details of the Sept. 11 planning during a dinner that was videotaped and aired across the world.
The capture was a coup for Saudi Arabia, which spent months tracking him and setting up the intelligence operation that led to his being taken into custody in exchange for eventual amnesty.
The officials said interrogations of al-Harbi, who is now in Saudi Arabia, have yielded confirmation of many al-Qaida tactics, including how members crossed into Iran after the U.S. began military operations to rout al-Qaida and the Taliban from Afghanistan.
Al-Harbi is believed to have been paralyzed from the waist down while fighting in the 1990s alongside Muslim extremists in Bosnia and Afghanistan, and he surprised intelligence officials when he appeared in the December 2001 video with bin Laden.
“Everybody praises what you did,” al-Harbi said on the tape.
Evidence of Khobar Towers mastermind
U.S. and foreign intelligence agencies also have evidence stretching back to the late 1990s that indicates Ahmad Ibrahim al-Mughassil remains in hiding in Iran. He is wanted as one of the masterminds of the Khobar Towers bombing in Saudi Arabia that killed 19 Americans.
Al-Mughassil, who also goes by the alias Abu Omran, has been charged as a fugitive by the United States — accused of conspiracy to commit murder in the attacks — and has a $5 million bounty on his head.
U.S. authorities have long alleged that the 1996 bombing was carried out by a Saudi wing of the militant group Hezbollah, which receives support from Iran and Syria.
Intelligence agencies gathered evidence, including a specific phone number, as early as 1997 indicating that al-Mughassil was living in Iran, and they have other information indicating his whereabouts.
U.S. officials have not publicly discussed the Saudi capture of al-Harbi or their evidence on al-Mughassil’s whereabouts, but they have increasingly raised questions about Iran’s efforts to turn over other suspected terrorists believed to be under some form of loose house arrest.
Nicholas Burns, State Department undersecretary for political affairs, told Congress last month that Iran has refused to identify al-Qaida members it has in custody.
“Iran continues to hold senior al-Qaida leaders who are wanted for murdering Americans and others in the 1998 East Africa Embassy bombings and for plotting to kill countless others,” Burns said.
Top administration officials have repeatedly warned Iran against harboring or assisting suspected terrorists.
Al-Zarqawi in Iran?
U.S. intelligence this week has been checking some reports, still uncorroborated as of Friday, that Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, al-Qaida’s leader of the Iraqi insurgency, may have dipped into Iran, officials said.
On Wednesday, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld warned countries in the Middle East not to help al-Zarqawi.
“Were a neighboring country to take him in and provide medical assistance or haven for him, they, obviously, would be associating themselves with a major linkage in the al-Qaida network and a person who has a great deal of blood on his hands,” Rumsfeld said.
The U.S. and foreign officials said evidence gathered by intelligence agencies indicates the following figures are somewhere in Iran, perhaps under some form of house arrest or surveillance:
# Saad bin Laden, the son of the al-Qaida leader whom U.S. authorities have aggressively hunted since the Sept. 11 attacks.
# Saif al-Adel, an al-Qaida security chief wanted in connection with the deadly 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Africa.
# Suleiman Abu Ghaith, the chief of information for al-Qaida and a frequently quoted spokesman for bin Laden.
Bartering chips
Kenneth Katzman, a Middle East analyst at the Congressional Research Service, said it’s possible that some of the suspected terrorists are being held in guarded villas, and he doubted any detention is uncomfortable.
“I think that Iran sees these guys as something of an insurance policy,” Katzman said. “It’s leverage.”
Rasool Nafisi, a Middle East analyst who studies conservative groups in Iran, said Iran has returned some lower-level operatives to their home countries but probably is keeping higher-ranking operatives as a bartering chip.
“Remember, Islamic tradition is very much based on haggling,” Nafisi said. “If I were the Iranian government, I’d be very happy to have them and to use them in future negotiations with the United States.”
© 2005 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
© 2005 MSNBC.com

2 comments:

Blaghdad Café said...

Wow, love that piece...it looks like that tide we've been looking for might just be changing...yeah, yeah, "don't jinx it..."
Fine...
Big Brass Blogswarm:
Blaghdaddy here doing his part for the Big Brass Alliance...
And while you're at it, Blaghdaddy has a little request of his own...all it takes is a minute to drop in and leave a supportive comment for Blaghdaddy's "CAIG Party" to Impeach Bush...just a comment, Blagh'll take care of the rest...
Have a great weekend, fellow liberals!!
Blaghdaddy

that colored fella said...

TCF remembers clearly, ex-Senior CIA Agent Gary Schroen say on Meet The Press that US Intelligence on Iran is worse than 5 years ago!
I've long been skeptical of the assertions that the Bush administration has already decided to invade Iran. I would be better persuaded of an obvious diversionary tactic, if I wasn't more certain it would trigger a draft.
If you begin to read justifications of an Iran Invasion from the Right bloggers, their arguments will hinge on a moderate, majority population of young Iranians enraptured with Western culture (spin: American style Democracy!), waiting for an impetus to overthrow the ruling Mullahs.
And, such a belief is not based even on manipulated Intelligence.