Citizen G'kar: Musings on Earth

March 13, 2007

Now the Saudis tool up for war

King Abdullah of Jordan was in the US last week making an uncharacteristic pitch for peace between Israel and the Palestinians.
NewsHour | PBS
If America does not actively engage, then the ability to be able to get both sides to sit down, to agree, to compromise, to move the process forward, the odds are stacked against us.

What he's talking about is the consequences of continued conflict in Israel with increasing acrimony between Iran and the Moderate Sunni Arab states. They see the hand of Iran with Hamas and Hezbollah as decreasing influence for their Sunni allies, a radicalization of the population and ultimately war all over the Middle East. Saudi Arabia and Jordan are preparing now to bolster the insurgency in Iraq as a way to contain Iran.
I can't think of a better reason to get out of Iraq now. We are cannon fodder in a regional war. Saudi dollars are killing more Americans in Iraq than Iran, by far.
The First Post : Neighbours arm their proxies in Iraq's civil war
This weekend, buyers from across the Gulf states and the Middle East will descend on a huge arms fair in Dubai. Sheikhs, emirs, princes and kings will be buying anything from specialised sniper ammunition by the ton, to the highest-tech surveillance gear and even the odd British Aerospace gunboat or Eurofighter.


The Arab world will use the International Defence Exhibition (IDEX), to tool up for a coming confrontation with Iran, and to arm Sunni insurgents to fight Iran's allies in Iraq, the Shia militias.


Even the Bush administration will now admit, under its collective breath of course, that Iraq is in the throes of a full-blown civil war between armed groups of its Sunni and Shia Arab communities, triggered a year ago by the destruction of the al-Laskar mosque in Samara, a revered Shia shrine.


What the American authorities are reluctant to admit, however, is that there are signs that the Sunnis of Saudi Arabia and their allies - including Jordan - have been equipping and training Sunni extremists in Iraq for some time now. Critically, not all the weaponry and munitions have been used against the militants' Shia and Kurdish Iraqi enemies. Some of them - including lethal roadside bombs - have been aimed at US forces.


"The growth of the official and unofficial Saudi and Jordanian support for the militants is one of the most worrying developments," a senior British officer has told me privately after a visit to Iraq.


The Bush administration has kept mum about this while it tries to concentrate the minds of America and the world on their new public enemy number one, Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the region's chief sponsor of terrorism and nuclear proliferation.


British strategic advisers to the Pentagon and the National Security Council report that, undeterred by their unfinished business in Iraq and Afghanistan, President Bush and Vice-President Cheney are now intent on opening up a third front against Iran. Their argument runs that Saddam Hussein was bad and al-Qaeda even worse, but the threat to world peace now comes from Ahmadinejad. He must be stopped before he gets a nuclear weapon and uses it against Israel.

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