Citizen G'kar: Musings on Earth

November 04, 2005

Cheney is Vulnerable to an Espionage Charge

It would appear the electorate is catching on to Bush's shenanegans. His popularity has dropped to the record low of 39%. Fifty eight percent question his integrity.
I've been hoping all along that Fitzgerald has a big fish in mind with his indictment of Libby. Some think it's Rove. It seems likely this is another line of the investigation. But I think the biggest fish Fitz is casting for is Cheney. John Dean, former Whitehouse Counsel thinks so too. Thanks to Simbaud for the tip.
FindLaw's Writ
The Libby indictment asserts that "[o]n or about June 12, 2003 Libby was advised by the Vice President of the United States that Wilson's wife worked at the Central Intelligence Agency in the Counterproliferation Division. Libby understood that the Vice President had learned this information from the CIA." In short, Cheney provided the classified information to Libby - who then told the press. Anyone who works in national security matters knows that the Counterproliferation Division is part of the Directorate of Operations -- the covert side of the CIA, where most everything and everyone are classified.


According to Fitzgerald, Libby admits he learned the information from Cheney at the time specified in the indictment. But, according to Fitzgerald, Libby also maintained - in speaking to both FBI agents and the grand jury - that Cheney's disclosure played no role whatsoever in Libby's disclosure to the media. Or as Fitzgerald noted at his press conference, Libby said, "he had learned from the vice president earlier in June 2003 information about Wilson's wife, but he had forgotten it, and that when he learned the information from [the reporter] Mr. [Tim] Russert during this phone call he learned it as if it were new."


So, in Fitzgerald's words, Libby's story was that when Libby "passed the information on to reporters Cooper and Miller late in the week, he passed it on thinking it was just information he received from reporters; that he told reporters that, in fact, he didn't even know if it were true. He was just passing gossip from one reporter to another at the long end of a chain of phone calls."


This story is, of course, a lie, but it was a clever one on Libby's part. It protects Cheney because it suggests that Cheney's disclosure to Libby was causally separate from Libby's later, potentially Espionage-Act-violating disclosure to the press. Thus, it also denies any possible conspiracy between Cheney and Libby. And it protects Libby himself - by suggesting that since he believed he was getting information from reporters, not indirectly from the CIA, he may not have had have the state of mind necessary to violate the Espionage Act.


Thus, from the outset of the investigation, Libby has been Dick Cheney's firewall. And it appears that Fitzgerald is actively trying to penetrate that firewall. It has been reported that Libby's attorney tried to work out a plea deal. But Fitzgerald insisted on jail time, so Libby refused to make a deal. It appears that only Libby, in addition to Cheney, knows what Cheney knew, and when he knew, and why he knew, and what he did with his knowledge.


Fitzgerald has clearly thrown a stacked indictment at Libby, laying it on him as heavy as the law and propriety permits. He has taken one continuous false statement, out of several hours of interrogation, and made it into a five-count indictment. It appears he is trying to flip Libby - that is, to get him to testify against Cheney -- and not without good reason. Cheney is the big fish in this case.


Will Libby flip? Unlikely. Neither Cheney nor Libby (I believe) will be so foolish as to crack a deal. And Libby probably (and no doubt correctly) assumes that Cheney - a former boss with whom he has a close relationship -- will (at the right time and place) help Libby out, either with a pardon or financially, if necessary. Libby's goal, meanwhile, will be to stall going to trial as long as possible, so as not to hurt Republicans' showing in the 2006 elections. So if Libby can take the heat for a time, he and his former boss (and friend) may get through this. But should Republicans lose control of the Senate (where they are blocking all oversight of this administration), I predict Cheney will resign "for health reasons."

It seems to me that Fitz is trolling for big fish with henchmen. He's publically indicated Rove isn't off the hook. It seems possible to me that he wonders if he might catch a bigger fish in the President's office too, like Dubya himself? Who else would Rove been working with, taking orders from in the Whitehouse?

4 comments:

Tom Maguire said...

Interesting. Did Dean mention what criminal act Cheney performed? Libby, presumably, had proper security clearances.
Or maybe, after the coercion of a threatened long stay in jail, Libby will offer a he said/he said as to whether Cheney ordered him to break the law. Compelling.
I am making the obvious bet on Dec 2008 Christmas pardons (assuming the trial does not shock us with new revelations).
The Clinton/Rich analogy is not appropriate - in that one, Clinton annoyed his own base by asking them to defend the indefensible.
By guess is that Reps will not be bothered by a Libby pardon; only the folks who have been screaming at Bush for eight years will scream about this.
The Bush I / Caspar Weinberger analogy is very good.
As an aside, I hope to post an excerpt from the recent Tim Russert show - they talked about the difficulties of an Espionage Act charge.

Dave Marco said...

I think Dean was presuming the possible charge Cheney faced was about the outing of Plame. Apparently Fitz and Dean believes releasing her CIA ties was espionage. But I find it hard to believe a federal prosecuter would pursue a case of espionage based on the technicality of classified information that may not have hidden very well. I have to wonder if Plame's identify really was more secret that some say or there is another yet unknown alleged crime.

Kate said...

If they were to indict government officials for discussing employees who exhibit poor judgement, the whole government would be indicted.
When the liar Wilson dragged his office into this, Cheney had every right to find out who sent the fool.
This was not an attempt to out the nepotistic Plame. It was an attempt to get the biased media to report accurately, a crime?
22 indictments; a raft of indictments, Cheney, Rove, Bolton, Rice,
Prediction: Libby won't serve a day in jail.

Miles Archer said...

Kate:
"If they were to indict government officials for discussing employees who exhibit poor judgement, the whole government would be indicted."
Well all the republicans at least. The Wilson smear was just instance. Were they getting the truth out when they smeared Ritter, Shinseki, O Neal, Clarke etc. ?