Citizen G'kar: Musings on Earth

August 20, 2006

Please Act Immediately to Save the Internet

Congress is poised to privatize the Internet. A resource created by tax payers dollars is being relegated to a private network controlled by Telcom corporations who have demonstrated an inclination to limit access to information and commerce.
Do you want to allow a handful of multinational corporations to control everything you see and hear? Congress must preserve a free and open Internet by creating enforceable network neutrality and keep tollbooths, gatekeepers, and discrimination off my Internet.
Please act immediately to save the Internet. The bill before Congress today promises to take the greatest resource of our Democratic process and gut it into private conduit controlled by big money and the telcoms, restraining commerce and freedom of speech.
Net neutrality is as basic to Democracy as the Bill of Rights, in fact it is one of the few means to express many of those rights in a level open forum. This bill will kill our world's greatest resource for communication today.
Take Action: Sign the Petition -- Don't Let Congress Ruin the Internet
Save the Net Now
Key Links

MoveOn petition. (Please include - each signer will get future action items.)

Call Congress today.

Original MoveOn email describing the issue.

How gutting Net Neutrality affects regular people (Ipod users, Google users), and proof that telecom companies abuse their power.

Actress Alyssa Milano blogs on Internet freedom.

Our coalition MySpace profile – including a video explaining this issue (please include).

Coalition website (please include – mentioning our partners Gun Owners of America and Craig from Craigslist).

Coalition blog – good recent developments.

A key House committee already voted against Internet freedom. See if your representative is on this committee.

Find out where your representative stands.

Good Articles

Net Losses," New Yorker, March 20, 2006

"Why You Should Care About Net Neutrality," Slate - Prof. Tim Wu Guest Column, May 1, 2006

"Gun Owners, Librarians Unite Against Bells,"Telephony Online, April 24, 2006

"New Group Aims to ‘Save the Internet’" CNet News, April 24, 2006

"Average Joe And Saving The Internet," Webpronews.com, April 24, 2006  

"Panel Vote Shows Rift Over 'Net Neutrality'" Los Angeles Times, April 27, 2006

August 19, 2006

Israelis May Be Spoiling For Another Fight

I will be surprised if the cease fire in Lebanon holds. Israelis are already showing signs of looking for another go. Bellicose comments by Hizbullah, Syria and Iran may have provoked the Israelis to look for another fight. Indeed, it may have already begun.
WaPo
Helicopter-borne Israeli commandos raided a Bekaa Valley stronghold of the Hezbollah militia early Saturday in the first major violation of a six-day-old cease-fire. Hezbollah, which battled the Israeli military for 33 days until a truce took hold Aug. 14, said its fighters encountered the Israeli commandos near the town of Boudai and engaged them in a fierce gun battle, inflicting casualties and driving them off.


The Israeli military, confirming the raid, said its commandos carried out the operation as part of an effort to prevent resupply of Hezbollah with weapons and munitions from Iran and Syria. It said one Israeli officer was killed and two soldiers were wounded, one seriously.

One might ask why would the Israelis be so hungry for another battle? It's because their reputation has been tarnished and their enemies emboldened.
WaPo
From the failure to get food and water to the troops, to complaints of an uncertain war plan and overconfident generals, the Lebanon war is fast being viewed within Israel as a major stumble. Military and political leaders already are trading blame; some are expected to lose their posts. Officers say the mistakes show weakness in the military, the Israel Defense Forces, known as the IDF. Many Israelis worry that the failure of the military to squash the Hezbollah militia will make their country more vulnerable to other enemies.


"For four weeks we failed to defend ourselves against daily bombardments against our cities. This is a failure that never happened before," said Yuval Steinitz, a Likud Party member and former chairman of parliament's defense committee. "This is going to send a bad message."


[...]"The destruction in Beirut and southern Lebanon do create anger, but they also create deterrence," Steinberg said. "Israelis are coping with this. It's not a sense of denial. It would be a mistake if Hezbollah or others look at Israel as a weakened society. Israeli society is very determined to see this through, and prepared to fight another war."

August 18, 2006

The War On Corruption

Now here is a good idea, one that could be duplicated worldwide. Virtually all conflict has it's basis in economics. Often it is the party that has the most to gain that distorts the truth to those who care and makes an economic conflict into one that is based on fear to cover the tracks of the profiteer. The fear can be about religion, race, or any other emotional flash point for the culture. But it's usually about someone taking more than his share at other's expense. It's often nurtured by corrupt political leaders who distort the truth and call on fear, bigotry, and fanaticism.
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
The same forces of globalization that shrunk the global marketplace also create a larger space for graft and political grand theft - as well as more opportunity and impetus for voters to resist it. As James Surowiecki recently pointed out in The New Yorker, the pressures for modernization in transitional economies create huge openings for corruption. As leaders privatise utilities and establish new regulatory regimes in a globalized economy, public offices have more lucrative opportunities to steer capital flows, provide safe havens for illicit cash, or lend official imprimatur to private schemes. Political elites are often the last to understand that the people mean business in their calls for reforms. More surprising is the critique that has emerged from some scholars of global affairs, who argue that an overwrought focus on corruption detracts attention from more pressing issues. Last year, Moises Naim, the editor of Foreign Policy, wrote in The Washington Post that "the war on corruption is undermining democracy, helping the wrong leaders get elected and distracting societies from facing urgent problems".


Mr Naim and others are right that a focus on corruption does not always produce progressive results. Hamas won December's Palestinian elections in part by crusading against corruption in the ruling Fatah movement. But those who see a "corruption obsession" are wrong to think voters have misplaced priorities. The scale of corruption often runs into billions of dollars, enough to make a real impact on a country's economy and living standards. That is why voters mostly talk about corruption not as a moral failing, but as an economic problem - and in surveys across many countries they tell us it is a bigger cause of low living standards than bad economic policies.


It therefore makes sense for the World Bank and other agencies to make governance reforms a priority in the development agenda. But the rising scale and toll of corruption also means that it will be more of a first order political issue in more and more countries. Those politicians who take the lead on this issue - explaining its costs, identifying its perpetrators and offering solutions - are likely to find themselves in line with most voters in their national elections and marching in front of what is becoming a global demand for transparency and change.

Destroy Lebanon to Make Peace?

Simple solutions make complex problems worse. The Neocon dream of remaking the world in the image of the US national interest rested on the assumption the US Military could intimidate the world into doing it's bidding. The rules of war have changed. We see just how effective the US has been in Iraq and Central Asia. US power and credibility is at it's lowest point in the past 20 years at least.
Intiimidation works only as long you hold a gun to the head of your enemy. The damage done removes credibility and influence for sometimes generations. The US policy has served to create a pool of millions of recruits for Al Qaeda especially in the next generation.
Here, in it's entirety, is a editorial that makes a cohesive proposal for addressing Lebanon. Watch how the Bush Administration ignores these ideas. One can only hope the rest of the Republican party will stand up.
New York Times
WHAT a waste that it took more than 30 days to adopt a United Nations Security Council resolution for a cease-fire in Lebanon. Thirty days during which nothing positive was achieved and a great deal of pain, suffering and damage was inflicted on innocent people.


The loss of innocent civilian life is staggering and the destruction, particularly in Lebanon, is devastating. Human rights organizations and the United Nations have condemned the humanitarian crisis and violations of international humanitarian law.


Yet all the diplomatic clout of the United States was used to prevent a cease-fire, while more military hardware was rushed to the Israeli Army. It was argued that the war had to continue so that the root causes of the conflict could be addressed, but no one explained how destroying Lebanon would achieve that.


And what are these root causes? It is unbelievable that recent events are so regularly traced back only to the abduction of three Israeli soldiers. Few speak of the thousands of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel, or of its Lebanese prisoners, some of whom have been held for more than 20 years. And there is hardly any mention of military occupation and the injustice that has come with it.


Rather than helping in the so-called global war on terror, recent events have benefited the enemies of peace, freedom and democracy. The region is boiling with resentment, anger and despair, feelings that are not leading young Arabs and Palestinians toward the so-called New Middle East.


Nor are these policies helping Israel. Israel’s need for security is real and legitimate, but it will not be secured in any sustainable way at the expense of the equally real and legitimate needs and aspirations of its neighbors. Israel and its neighbors could negotiate an honorable settlement and live in peace and harmony. As often happens in complex conflict situations, however, the parties cannot do it alone. They need outside help but are not getting it.


It is perhaps too early to draw lessons from this month of madness. What is clear, however, is that Hezbollah scored a political victory and its leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, has become the most popular figure in the Muslim world. As for Israel, it does not seem to have achieved its stated objectives. Should these trends continue, it is hard to imagine stability coming to the region soon.


So what can be done? The international community should take several steps — some concrete, some conceptual — to address the current crisis.


First, priority must be given to ensuring Lebanon’s unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity and the full implementation of the 1989 Taif accord, which I helped negotiate on behalf of the Arab League. This agreement specifically required that the Lebanese government, like all states, have a monopoly over the possession of weapons and the use of force.


Second, we must recall that Hezbollah came into existence as a consequence of the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982. Like all movements, it has evolved: it was initially a militia and a resistance movement against foreign occupation. It then developed into both a political party and a social organization, providing valuable services to its impoverished community.


Rather than trying to isolate Hezbollah, we should be encouraging it to play a responsible role in the internal dynamics of Lebanon. It would then, in turn, be legitimate to expect Hezbollah to accept the Lebanese state’s exclusive right to possess armaments and use force.


Third, it is something of a paradox to ask Iran and Syria to sever relations with Hezbollah while asking them to use their influence to obtain its compliance with the cease-fire resolution. Would it not be more effective to demand that both countries, as well as all other states in the region and beyond, scrupulously respect Lebanon’s sovereignty and abstain from interfering in its internal affairs?


Fourth, the most valuable contribution Israel can make to lasting peace across its northern border is to withdraw its troops from all the territory it currently occupies, including the Shebaa Farms.


Finally, urgent and sustained attention must be focused on the problem that underlies the unrest in the Middle East: the Palestinian issue. A wealth of United Nations resolutions and other agreements already exist that provide a basis for a just and viable solution to the Middle East conflict.


One approach could be for a team of mediators to be mandated by the Security Council and an international conference (including the Arab League) to take on the formidable task of reviving the pre-existing agreements that work best and then seeing that they are put in place.


If the United States and other key countries could see this conflict through a different lens, there could be a real chance for peace. This would be the best way to signal genuine respect and atonement for the suffering inflicted on so many innocent people for so many years.


Lakhdar Brahimi is a former special adviser to the United Nations Secretary General.

August 17, 2006

Israel is Making Unprecedented Concessions

I'm quite surprised at the Israeli behavior in this cease fire and withdrawl. Hizbullah is behaving very much like the winner, refusing to give up arms despite the UN brokered cease fire that requires them to do so. In the past, that would have led to immediate repercussions by the Israelis. In fact, it might be seen as a way for Israel to assert a strong hand after a public relations fiasco but demonstrating Hizbullah's intransigence and willingness to put their own people in harms way.
But Israel is looking very much like a team player with the UN, something I never thought I'd see in my life time. France's involvement will give the UNIFIL force real credibility. They are not about to let Hizbullah and Israel make fools of them.
This is getting very interesting. Perhaps Israel finally is recognizing it's future is in the community of nations. Perhaps for the first time, they are realizing that they can't fend off their enemies on their own.
WaPo
Breaking an impasse, the Lebanese government on Wednesday ordered army troops to deploy across southern Lebanon under a compromise arrangement that allows the Hezbollah militia to retain some of its arms caches near the border with Israel.


Military authorities said as many as 15,000 troops would begin taking up positions in devastated southern villages, seeking to defuse a threat to the U.N. cease-fire that went into effect Monday morning after 33 days of warfare between Hezbollah fighters and the Israeli military.


[...]Hezbollah welcomed the army deployment and its ministers voted with the cabinet majority. But political sources involved in the decision said Hezbollah did so on condition that the army pledge not to look closely at whether all of the militia's armaments and missile stores were carried out of the border zone.


[...]France has offered to lead the reinforced UNIFIL detachment and contribute troops. The French foreign minister, Philippe Douste-Blazy, after conferring with Siniora in Beirut, urged swift deployment of Lebanese army troops to provide reinforcement for the international peacekeepers as soon as possible.


Turkey also has offered to send troops. Its foreign minister, Abdullah Gul, also conferred with Lebanese officials in Beirut, along with the foreign ministers of Malaysia and Pakistan. Malaysia has said it, too, might send soldiers, along with Italy and several others. The Bush administration has said no U.S. troops will be involved.

August 16, 2006

The End Game in Lebanon Has Yet To Be Played

Israelis stopped pulling out of Lebanon yesterday, even though they continue to talk about withdrawl. Hizbullah has refused to pull out or disarm. The UN peace force cannot deploy without both parties cooperation. So much for a cease fire.
Clearly, Hizbullah has begun to play it's political hand internally in Lebanon. The people of south Lebanon are going to happily take the money provided by Iran and rebuild as best they can. Israel has been successfully demonized, as if they needed much help. By hurrying the rebuilding, Hizbullah gets back it's civilian shield. More cannon fodder for Israeli bombs.
I think Nasrallah will settle for nothing less than power sharing with the current government and integration of his fighters into the Lebanese Army. Iran will continue to have a strong ally in Lebanon.
We fighting break out again? It seems likely. Israel is in a bit of better position to root out Hizbullah now that they hold advanced positions and have been able to place many Hizbullah positions. But Israel is also behavior in an unusual way. They are treating the UN and other western powers with respect. They appear to be willing to adhere to their commitments. If they pull out despite Hizbullah intransigence, they are truly playing a different hand. Are they hoping for an invite into NATO with Turkey?
UPDATE: NewsDaily
Israel is prepared to disarm the Lebanese Hezbollah militant group if U.N. peacekeeping forces can't or won't, the Jerusalem Post reports.

WaPo
Hezbollah refused to disarm and withdraw its fighters from the battle-scarred hills along the border with Israel on Tuesday, threatening to delay deployment of the Lebanese army and endangering a fragile cease-fire.


The makings of a compromise emerged from all-day meetings in Beirut, according to senior officials involved in the negotiations, and Prime Minister Fouad Siniora scheduled a cabinet session Wednesday for what he hoped would be formal approval of the deal. Hezbollah indicated it would be willing to pull back its fighters and weapons in exchange for a promise from the army not to probe too carefully for underground bunkers and weapons caches, the officials said.


Thousands of Lebanese families again filled the roads leading south, heeding a call from Hezbollah that they return immediately to their often-shattered villages. Leaflets dropped by Israeli aircraft warned them to stay away, but cars loaded with children and household belongings streamed down the coastal road.


[...]Hezbollah activists provided money for the trip to many refugees leaving centers around the country. In his televised talk, Nasrallah promised they also would receive money on the spot to help them rebuild their homes, starting an immediate aid program for displaced people while the government was still holding meetings and appealing for funds.


The Lebanese army would like UNIFIL troops to deploy first in southern Lebanon and for the Israelis to pull out, which would then remove Hezbollah's reason for remaining there under arms, according to a government minister who spoke on condition that he not be named. Once Hezbollah's militia pulls back from the border zone, he suggested, the question of its full disarmament or incorporation into the army can be debated.

August 15, 2006

Evil Symbiosis

The war in Lebanon was unnecessary. It accomplished nothing constructive. It killed a lot of innocent civilians and perhaps a couple hundred Hizbullah fighters. It spent billions on bombs and other war material feeding that infernal military industrial complex.
Only evil men benefitted from this war. Bush has had a resurgence in the polls. Olmert, thought of as soft by Hamas and Hizbullah, now has a tough reputation. Cheney continues his march towards a war with Iran. Nasrallah and his Hizbullah has become a political and military force to be reckoned with in Lebanon. They are stronger than ever. And Iranian President Ahmadinejad is the new champion of the Palestinian cause, stronger and more defiant than any other Muslim state and soon to have nuclear weapons.
The Nation
An evil symbiosis does exist between Muslim terrorists and American politicians, but it is not the one Republicans describe. The jihadists need George W. Bush to sustain their cause. His bloody crusade in the Middle East bolsters their accusation that America is out to destroy Islam. The president has unwittingly made himself the lead recruiter of willing young martyrs.


More to the point, it is equally true that Bush desperately needs the terrorists. They are his last frail hope for political survival. They divert public attention, at least momentarily, from his disastrous war in Iraq and his shameful abuses of the Constitution. The "news" of terror--whether real or fantasized--reduces American politics to its most primitive impulses, the realm of fear-and-smear where George Bush is at his best.

August 14, 2006

Hizbullah Won: 'The Best Guerrilla Force in the World'

The cease fire time has past and refugees have begun a careful walk home. There have been some notable fire fights, but they have been limited to combatants armed and out in the open. It's clear, this cease fire so far is not like past Israeli efforts. The Israeli Army while not beaten, has had to fight bunker by bunker in a style of fighting for which it wasn't prepared.
Hizbullah will be seen as heroes worldwide, but especially in Lebanon. Their political capital is skyhigh. The chance of another militia challenging them to a fight is remote at best. Hizbullah may well dominate Lebanese politics as the largest sect for the forseeable future.
Israel has shot itself in the foot again, so effectively and obviously that even it's people will see the truth. Perhaps the days of armed confrontation in the Middle East has reached a turning point. Lets hope it's for the best.
WaPo
Hezbollah's irregular fighters stood off the modern Israeli army for a month in the hills of southern Lebanon thanks to extraordinary zeal and secrecy, rigorous training, tight controls over the population, and a steady flow of Iranian money to acquire effective weaponry, according to informed assessments in Lebanon and Israel. "They are the best guerrilla force in the world," said a Lebanese specialist who has sifted through intelligence on Hezbollah for more than two decades and strongly opposes the militant Shiite Muslim movement.


Because Hezbollah was entrenched in friendly Shiite-inhabited villages and underground bunkers constructed in secret over several years, a withering Israeli air campaign and a tank-led ground assault were unable to establish full control over a border strip and sweep it clear of Hezbollah guerrillas -- one of Israel's main declared war aims. Largely as a result, the U.N. Security Council resolution approved unanimously Friday night fell short of the original objectives laid out by Israel and the Bush administration when the conflict began July 12. As the declared U.N. cease-fire went into effect Monday morning, many Lebanese -- particularly among the Shiites who make up an estimated 40 percent of the population -- had already assessed Hezbollah's endurance as a military success despite the devastation wrought across Lebanon by Israeli bombing.


Hezbollah's staying power on the battlefield came from a classic fish-in-the-sea advantage enjoyed by guerrillas on their home ground, hiding in their own villages and aided by their relatives. Hasan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader, summed up the guerrilla strategy in a televised address during the conflict when he said, "We are not a regular army and we will not fight like a regular army." The group's battlefield resilience also came from an unusual combination of zeal and disciplined military science, said the Lebanese specialist with access to intelligence information, who spoke on condition he not be identified by name.


The fighters' Islamic faith and intense indoctrination reduced their fear of death, he noted, giving them an advantage in close-quarters combat and in braving airstrikes to move munitions from post to post. Hezbollah leaders also enhanced fighters' willingness to risk death by establishing the Martyr's Institute, with an office in Tehran, that guarantees living stipends and education fees for the families of fighters who die on the front. "If you are waiting for a white flag coming out of the Hezbollah bunker, I can assure you it won't come," Brig. Gen. Ido Nehushtan, a member of the Israeli army's general staff, said in a briefing for reporters in the northern Israeli village of Gosherim. "They are extremists, they will go all the way."


Moreover, Hezbollah's military leadership carefully studied military history, including the Vietnam War, the Lebanese expert said, and set up a training program with help from Iranian intelligence and military officers with years of experience in the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. The training was matched to weapons that proved effective against Israeli tanks, he added, including the Merkava main battle tank with advanced armor plating.


Wire-guided and laser-guided antitank missiles were the most effective and deadly Hezbollah weapons, according to Israeli military officers and soldiers. A review of Israel Defense Forces records showed that the majority of Israeli combat deaths resulted from missile hits on armored vehicles -- or on buildings where Israeli soldiers set up observation posts or conducted searches. Most of the antitank missiles, Israeli officers noted, could be dragged out of caches and quickly fired with two- or three-man launching teams at distances of 3,200 yards or more from their targets. One of the most effective was the Russian-designed Sagger 2, a wire-guided missile with a range of 550 to 3,200 yards.


In one hidden bunker, Israeli soldiers discovered night-vision camera equipment connected to computers that fed coordinates of targets to the Sagger 2 missile, according to Israeli military officials who described the details from photographs they said soldiers took inside the bunker.


[...]Hezbollah's resistance to penetration by Israeli intelligence was part of a culture of secrecy extreme even by the standards of underground guerrilla forces. The code fit with a tendency toward secrecy in the Shiite stream of Islam, called faqih . It also fit with a sense of solidarity against others that Lebanese Shiites have been imbued with since the beginning of their emergence as a political force in the mid-1970s, when their first organization was called the Movement of the Deprived.

August 13, 2006

Britain Has Become a Jihadi Recruitment Center

There is great danger in not knowing who our enemy is, the greatest danger is that our actions to protect ourselves will in fact put us in greater danger. Indeed, by adopting Israeli foreign policy and military tactics, the Bush Administration has placed us in greater danger than at anytime since WWII. Before Bush, there was some perception of separation between Israeli foreign policy and the US. The US periodically stepped up pressure to reign in the Israelis' excesses. The Lebanese conflict has marked a turning point. No longer is the US seen as a reluctant supporter of Israel. The world sees America as equally responsible for the carnage in Lebanon. The Bush Administration has never wavered publicly in support of Israel. There does appear to have been some behind the scenes pressure that has led to a less than favorable cease fire agreement.
I've written extensively in the past about the outbreak in Jihadi violence in Europe post 9-11, about France, and Britain. While we may have been winning the battles in turns of casualties, effective weapons, and initiative, Iraq represents the failure of the US foreign policy under Bush. Without a redoubling of efforts in Afghanistan, it seems likely to fall apart as well. Al Qaeda has been winning the war. Each of the problems address below represents a kind of asymmetrical conflict, a long-term intergenerational socio-political kind of warfare. This kind of tactic spreads across generations, with it's primary target being the hearts and minds of a community. This view of conflict can span a period of decades, even centuries. This historical perspective of conflict is required to see the intent of our enemies and in fact defeat them. The rules of warfare have changed and we are losing.
WaPo today has a great article that addresses many of the root causes behind the outbreak of Jihadi terror plots in Britain. I will use the article to illustrate the key issues we face in winning the hearts and minds of Muslim youth world wide.
1. Revenge across generations.
Asghar Bukhari of the Muslim Public Affairs Committee, which advocates Muslim involvement in the democratic process and opposes violence, said, "It's not hard to comprehend the mind of a Muslim." He said young British Muslims look around the world and "everywhere they are getting bombed," so they increasingly respond by saying, "Don't just sit down and take it -- let's fight them."


Harming the United States clearly remains a top priority of al-Qaeda and other radical groups, and the plot uncovered this week allegedly involved planes heading to major U.S. cities. But officials said Britain is an increasingly enticing target for extremists eager to strike back at the West, particularly Bush and Blair.

Blood begets more blood. All long term conflicts carry this primarily passionate and ultimately self-destructive motive. Revenge becomes an end in and of itself. War becomes a perpetual, unending cycle of retaliation and counter-retaliation.
2. An upwardly mobile petite bourgeois leadership that witnesses the suffering of those not so successful around them.
Little is known about the background or motives of suspects in the latest case. The 19 suspects who have been publicly identified all have Muslim names; 14 are from London, including several from Walthamstow; four are from High Wycombe, a quiet suburb west of London; and one is from the city of Birmingham. They range in age from 17 to 35, all but three of them in their twenties. Friends interviewed in Walthamstow said the suspects were either born in England or were from families who have lived for many years in London. Police have released no further information about them.


Hussain said many Pakistani immigrants moved out of tiny apartments cramped with relatives and now own multiple cars and houses and flourish financially. But over the years, he has also seen the seeds of radical Islam grow around him.


Despite the prosperity of some Muslims, statistics released by the government earlier this year showed that unemployment rates were higher among Muslims than for any other religion. Among Muslims aged 16 to 24, almost 28 percent were unemployed, compared with about 12 percent of Britons overall in that age group. Many here argue that isolation and disenchantment among young Muslims provides a fertile environment for extremist groups recruiting new members.


Despite the prosperity of some Muslims, statistics released by the government earlier this year showed that unemployment rates were higher among Muslims than for any other religion. Among Muslims aged 16 to 24, almost 28 percent were unemployed, compared with about 12 percent of Britons overall in that age group. Many here argue that isolation and disenchantment among young Muslims provides a fertile environment for extremist groups recruiting new members.


"Whoever teaches or preaches or brainwashes them, the police need to stop them," Hussain said.

Motivated in part by their guilt about their personal success within a community that perceives itself as discriminated against, the leadership creates a passionate ideology, based largely on glorious visions of revenge and retribution, followed by a fanciful belief in socio-political revolution. That ideology creates the means to brainwash followers to sacrifice their lives for their children's children.
3. Current events create the catalyst and provide "proof" of a grand conspiracy.
Menzies Campbell, leader of the Liberal Democrats and a leading opponent of Blair's government, said the reasons young Muslims turn to violence are more complicated than simply economic and social disadvantages. "I used to think it was about having a stake in society, about people having poor housing and poor education," he said. "But the more you look at it, explaining it away as a lack of a stake in the success of the country might not be the easy answer some people think it is."


[...]"The root is foreign policy," said Bukhari, who has emerged in the past year as a leading voice of the young Muslim community. "Only a half-wit wouldn't understand that this is about" British and American policies in the Middle East.

4. Personal experiences that seem to support the macro event inspired "grand conspiracy". The personal investment comes from witnessing the signs of oppression on themselves and their family and friends.
On Sept. 11, 2001, Hussain was managing a retail electronics shop, surrounded by television sets that replayed the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon over and over. "It is still in my mind," he said. Since that day, and especially since the bombings in London last year, many British Muslims have felt under siege, discriminated against and feared for having a beard or dressing in traditional Muslim clothing. When the news broke this week of the arrests in the alleged bomb plot, one of Hussain's two daughters, Afsheen, 15, asked him: "Why do they call them Muslim terrorists? Are we like that?"


[...]Still, many young Muslims believe they have been unfairly targeted by police. Scotland Yard released statistics on Friday showing that 1,047 people had been arrested under the Terrorism Act between September 2001 and the end of June. Of those, only 158 were eventually charged with offenses covered by the law. Officials did not say how many of those arrested were Muslims. But Muslim officials have complained that the vast majority of those arrested were Muslims, and that the low number of people charged suggests that most of the arrests were unwarranted.

5. The ideology undermines the incentives of joining the broader community and surmounting the obstacles of discrimination.
Blair and other British officials have also lamented the failure of many in the Muslim community to fully integrate into British society, preferring to live instead in neighborhoods where they rarely mix with others. "The identity of Muslims in the U.K. is Muslim first and foremost and British second," Ranstorp said, echoing a recent Pew global survey of Muslim attitudes that found that 81 percent of British Muslims who responded agreed with that sentiment. Only Pakistan had a higher percentage of people who considered themselves Muslims first, the survey showed.

6. The most important part of this perspective is the perception of success. Losing the battle is perceived as another step towards winning the war.
The most recent demonstration of this principle is perhaps the most damaging. Hizbullah is seen as the heroic defenders of Lebanon by the entire Lebanese population. Hamas, by winning the election in Palestine, was seen as winning the war with Israel. But most telling of all is Yasir Arafat's comment I quoted from a recent Newsweek article:
That leaves me to contemplate Yasir Arafat’s comment when the 1973 war ended with the Egyptian Army surrounded in the Sinai and the Israelis at the gates of Damascus. “You forget,” he told me after I remarked that a military solution didn’t look too promising for the Arab nations. “The Crusades took 200 years.” What time frame is anyone contemplating here?



Seeing this conflict as a battle of civilizations beginning with the Crusades is a common perspective in the Muslim world. In the 7th to the 8th century, an Islamic empire spread from the Atlantic Ocean to Central Asia and eventually into the islands south of SE Asia. The singular political entity soon broke up into many held loosely together by a shared religious identity. This identity led to attempts at a return to glory several times by strong Islamic sects including the Ottomans towards creating a pan Islamic "Caliphate". This idea continued to spread through offshoots of the Muslim Brotherhood throughout the 20th century. It eventually rooted itself in the philosophy of Al Qaeda.
It is this grand fantasy of new Islamic glory that we face as our enemy. It is as much a grand illusion of world domination. This is not a war that is won with weapons, but rather with ideals, communication and good will. We have been headed in the wrong direction for nearly six years now!

August 12, 2006

Ceasefire in Lebanon: Sooner Or Later?

The ceasefire agreement in Lebanon has many holes in it sufficient to drive many Israeli tanks through. This agreement is clearly a diplomatic slight of hand. Everyone thinks they got something from the agreement, but clearly there is no teeth, no enforcement provisions, and parties involved, especially Israel, will do whatever they want until the peacekeeping force is in place.
Israel for it's part is grabbing the high ground all over south Lebanon anticipating an extensive mop up of Hizbullah fighters while the peacekeepers get organized. Then, if necessary, the Israelis will put peacekeepers at risk to gain sometime to complete their mission to wipe out Hizbullah south of the Litany River. While the "ceasefire" will be accepted Monday by the Israeli government, in actuality, it's days if not weeks away.
Jerusalem Post
The United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted Resolution 1701 Friday evening, calling for a cessation of hostilities between Hizbullah and Israel. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert will recommend to the cabinet that it accept the UNSC resolution at its weekly meeting Sunday. The agreement was expected to go into effect by Monday morning.


However, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations Dan Gillerman told the UNSC that unless the means to enforce the resolution were to be defined, "We will be back [in the UNSC], if not in a week, then in a month or a year." He warned that Hizbullah would be embolded by the United Nations' lack of decisiveness and would undoubtedly be resupplied with even more deadly weapons.


The resolution authorizes the deployment of 15,000 UN peacekeepers in south Lebanon in support of Lebanese army forces, which are to move into the region and replace Hizbullah in parallel with a withdrawal of Israeli forces. Israel is not required to withdraw until the deployment of UN and Lebanese forces begins.

Reuters.com
Hizbollah said on Saturday it would abide by any U.N.-backed ceasefire in Lebanon, but would resist Israeli troops expanding their offensive in the south. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, leader of the Shi'ite Muslim guerrillas, said Hizbollah would cooperate with Lebanese and U.N. troops due to be deployed in south Lebanon under a Security Council resolution adopted on Friday to end the month-old war. "Once there is an agreement to stop the hostilities or the military operations, the resistance will abide by it," Nasrallah said in a speech broadcast on Hizbollah's al-Manar television. But he said Hizbollah had the right to resist any Israeli soldiers who remained on Lebanese soil.


Despite the U.N. resolution's demand for a "full cessation of hostilities", the Israeli army pushed deeper into Lebanon and air strikes killed up to 20 people on Saturday. Helicopters lifted hundreds of Israeli troops into the south as part of an expanding offensive launched even though Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has backed the U.N. vote. Olmert was expected to ask his cabinet to approve the resolution on Sunday. Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora said the final resolution was a victory for Lebanese diplomacy.


[...]Israel's top general said the offensive would go on until it was clear how any U.N.-backed ceasefire would take effect. "We will continue to operate until we achieve our aims," Lieutenant-General Dan Halutz told reporters.


Bush said the U.N. resolution aimed to "stop Hizbollah from acting as a state within a state, and put an end to Iran and Syria's efforts to hold the Lebanese people hostage to their own extremist agenda".


French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy made clear in an interview with Le Monde newspaper that the mission of the larger UNIFIL would not include disarming Hizbollah by force. "We never thought a purely military solution could resolve the problem of Hizbollah," he said. "We are agreed on the goal, the disarmament, but for us the means are purely political."


[...]Relief officials said Israel was still denying permission for aid convoys to reach distressed civilians in south Lebanon.


[...]At least 1,061 people in Lebanon and 124 Israelis have been killed in the war that began after Hizbollah guerrillas captured two Israeli soldiers in a cross-border raid on July 12.

The winds are changing in Israel. The right-wing continues to push for a costly war. However, public opinion is waivering, clearly not wanting to sacrifice casualties for an unwinnable war. Perhaps they are beginning to recognize they can no longer dominate their neighbors if their neighbors can't control their own population.
Irish Independent
AFTER four weeks basking in almost unwavering public support, Ehud Olmert yesterday awoke to a fusillade of criticism from the Israeli press. Opinion polls questioned the Israeli Prime Minister's handling of the Lebanon war and one front-page headline even demanded: "Olmert must go."


Hawkish generals had reportedly been pressing a reluctant prime minister to mount a larger offensive to the Litani river, even as diplomats talked of reaching the basis of a negotiated solution. Mr Olmert and his military commanders were attacked from the right for putting their faith in airstrikes to stop Hizbollah's rocket attacks instead of flooding Lebanon with troops early in the campaign, and by others for planning a huge escalation that would probably incur hundreds of troop casualties.


A poll in 'Haaretz' newspaper found only 48pc of respondents were satisfied with Mr Olmert's performance - down from 75pc. Only 20pc believe Israel is winning the campaign.


This was directly contradicted by another poll, in the rival 'Yedioth Ahronoth', which found that 66pc believe that Mr Olmert has performed well and 78pc think that he was right to go to war, rising to 87pc among the country's Jewish majority.


Crucial to Mr Olmert's future is who will be able to claim they won after the fighting ends.

August 10, 2006

British Thwart Terror Plot

Dubya has got us tramping all over Iraq, and sending bombs to the Israelis to bomb the Lebanese to the stone age and the terrorists are organizing in London. Al Qaeda and its pretenders are our enemy, not the Iraqis or the Lebanese. All we are doing is recruiting more suicide bombers by killing women and children in Iraq and Lebanon.
WaPo
British authorities said today they had disrupted a "major terrorist plot" to blow up passenger flights between the United Kingdom and the United States with liquid explosives, prompting a full-scale security clampdown at U.S. and British airports and a cascade of delays in trans-Atlantic flights.


London's Deputy Police Commissioner, Paul Stephenson, said 21 people had been arrested in London and in Birmingham, England, after a months-long investigation into what he said was a plan for "mass murder on an unimaginable scale." Peter Clarke, chief of the London police department's anti-terrorism branch, said the investigation reached a "critical point" last night, requiring immediate disruption of the plot, the arrests and the imposition of heightened security measures.


[...]British authorities said the threat involved terrorists who aimed to smuggle liquid explosive material aboard airplanes in hand baggage, including timers and detonators that could be assembled in flight. In July 2005, terrorists attacked London's subway and bus system with bombs made of acetone and peroxide mixed in plastic containers. Those attacks claimed 52 lives and injured hundreds of others.


Reid said the operation was aimed at bringing down "a number of aircraft" -- reportedly at least ten -- "through mid-flight explosions, causing a considerable loss of life." The plot, he said, "was a very significant one indeed." Chertoff said the plot, which he described as "sophisticated," was indicative of an al-Qaeda operation, but, he said, U.S. and British officials "cannot yet form a definitive conclusion" about al-Qaeda involvement. Chertoff said the attackers planned to carry explosive material and detonation components on planes "disguised as beverages, electronic devices and other common objects."


[...]American held three London-bound morning flights, one each from Chicago, Boston and New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport. To balance those cancellations, the airline also dropped three afternoon or evening flights scheduled to travel from London to those U.S. cities, Hotard said.


In Northwest Washington, a tight cordon of police security was thrown up around the British Embassy compound on Massachusetts Avenue.

August 09, 2006

Partition of Iraq?

Doublethink Dubya and his band of idiots continue to chant "We are going to win!" while the Iraqis are facing the facts. It's time to talk about partition in Iraq.
Los Angeles Times
Leaders of Iraq's powerful Shiite Muslim political bloc have begun aggressively promoting a radical plan to partition the country as a way of separating the warring sects. Some Iraqis are even talking about dividing the capital, with the Tigris River as a kind of Berlin Wall.


Shiites have long advocated some sort of autonomy in the south, similar to the Kurds' 15-year-old enclave in the north, with its own defense forces and control over oil exploration. And the new constitution does allow provinces to team up into federal regions. But the latest effort, promulgated by Cabinet ministers, clerics and columnists, marks the first time they have advocated regional partition as a way of stemming violence. "Federalism will cut off all parts of the country that are incubating terrorism from those that are upgrading and improving," said Khudair Khuzai, the Shiite education minister. "We will do it just like Kurdistan. We will put soldiers along the frontiers."


The growing clamor for partition illustrates how dire the country's security, economic and political problems have come to seem to many Iraqis: Until recently, the idea of redrawing the 8 1/2 -decade-old map of Iraq was considered seditious. Some of the advocates of partitioning the country are circumspect, arguing that federalism is only one of the tools under consideration for reducing violence. But others push a plan by Abdelaziz Hakim, head of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq, a political party. Hakim advocates the creation of a nine-province district in the largely peaceful south, home to 60% of the country's proven oil reserves.


Sunni leaders see nothing but greed in the new push — the Shiites, they say, are taking advantage of the escalating violence to make an oil grab. Iraq's oil is concentrated in the north and south; much of the Sunni-dominated west and northwest is desolate desert, devoid of oil and gas. "Controlling these areas will create a grand fortune that they can exploit," said Adnan Dulaimi, a leading Sunni Arab politician. "Their motive is that they are thirsty for control and power."


Still, even nationalists who favor a united Iraq acknowledge that sectarian warfare has gotten so out of hand that even the possibility of splitting the capital along the Tigris, which roughly divides the city between a mostly Shiite east and a mostly Sunni west, is being openly discussed. "Sunnis and Shiites are both starting to feel that dividing Baghdad will be the solution," said Ammar Wajuih, a Sunni politician.


Critics scoff at the idea that any geographical partitioning of Sunnis and Shiites will make the country safer. Some observers warn that cutting up the country's Arab provinces into separate religious cantons would be as cataclysmic as the partition of Pakistan and India in 1947.

It is very likely the ethnic cleansing will begin in earnest all over Iraq. Millions of people will be immediately at risk because they happen to live on the wrong side of the partition. And as you can see in the above map, there are a lot of key areas under dispute. The migrations and killings are just beginning. Civil war is just around the corner.
However, Turkey will be very concerned about a Kurdish state on it's borders, especially one that includes Kirkuk, a major oil center. The Kurds claim it as it's capital. While there remains a diverse mix of ethnic residents, Turkman represent a large minority. They will be supported by Turkish special forces already in Iraq in position.
The Kurds have the most effective fighting force in Iraq second only to the US. They will not let go of their hold on Kirkuk without a Turkish intervention, no one else has any hope of stopping them. And the Turks have threatened to do just that.
The only hope for Iraq is for it to retain a veil of federalism to hold the country together, however tenuously, with resource sharing with the Sunni minority. The likelihood of success seems quite remote.

Israelis Sack Military Commander in Lebanon

Israel sacks it's Lebanon military commander. The Israeli public buys the logic that obliterating Lebanon is justified. Though a few Israelis see that this was an unnecessary war.
WaPo
Maj. Gen. Moshe Kaplinsky, deputy chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, was named "to coordinate the Israeli army's operations in Lebanon," according to a statement. It said top army officials retained "complete confidence" in Maj. Gen. Udi Adam, head of Israel's Northern Command, who has led the assault on Hezbollah since it began July 12.


But some Israeli television reports described the arrival of Kaplinsky, who had previously commanded Israeli forces in the West Bank and Lebanon, as "an impeachment" and said it was the first time since 1973 that the top command had been reshuffled during a war.


Although the Israeli public has strongly backed the four-week air and ground campaign, criticism had recently begun to mount about the way it was being conducted. Commanders have said the assault is aimed at pushing Hezbollah away from the border to prevent it from launching rocket attacks on Israeli towns, but the group has carried out its deadliest barrages of the war in recent days, including attacks that killed 15 civilians and soldiers Sunday. More than 160 rockets were fired at northern Israel Tuesday, though no deaths were reported.

August 08, 2006

The Radicalization of the Muslim Streets

Moderate voices such as Juan Cole and Jamal are becoming increasingly shrill and radical in their repudiation of Israel and the Bush Administration as well as the hands off treatment in the US press. There silence on the facts is deafening. But the world is increasingly enraged.
Opinionated Voice
This was one authors response to Israel’s violent expanse into the Middle-East which has is being ignored by the West. The invasion itself is a serious breach of international law, and major war crimes are being committed as it proceeds, which some say is motivated by oil. Accordingly, many Muslim scholars and politicians have urged Arab and Islamic states to cut ties with Israel in support of the Palestinian and Lebanese peoples currently under seige.


Another strategy would be to withhold oil from the West until appropriate action is taken to ensure a ceasefire. A strategy that probably won’t be used as the House of Saud has just about got as far as sending “salutations to the resistance of Lebanon”. When will the oil-rich rulers of the Middle-East stop worryng about maintaining their profits and start worryng about their brothers that are dying?

The government of certain western countries are indeed ignoring it all. The US press is talking about victims at least, more than they did for Fallujiah. But they aren't talking about the stunning facts about the million refugees, nearly one thousand dead and thousands injured, $20 billion damage, all to root out two to three thousand fighters?? Crazy ideas like these start making more sense. "Paranoia strikes deep" : Stephen Stills That is frightening indeed.
Many other countries, including Muslim countries are giving little more than lip service to calling for a cease fire. A former religious teacher of Osama bin Ladin is calling Hizbullah the "Party of Satan" and forbiding prayer for them.
So far only Iran has called for an oil embargo.
I have to wonder if the US and Israel are hoping for a Shia-Sunni war, thinking that is the only way to take down Syria and Iran a notch or two. The US sometimes appears to be switching sides in the Iraqi conflict, taking on the Badr and Sadr coalition that holds power and hunts Sunnis.
There is a loose cannon in the US White House.
But the most cynical view of all comes from Newsweek. As this author sees it, Israel is willing to flirt with genocide to beat a new attitude into the Lebanese.
It’s a strange sort of deterrence that demands repeated wars. Nonetheless, Almog does have a point. Destruction and bloodshed can change a nation’s attitudes. Germany and Japan emerged from World War II ready to reconsider their futures—but that was after most major cities in both countries had been razed, millions of their people slaughtered and the traumatized survivors left starving in the rubble. By historical analogy, then, Israel might succeed in changing the Shia mindset, might succeed in provoking a sea change in Lebanon's politics. But only if Israel is willing to commit destruction in Lebanon on a World War II city-busting scale.


So the Lebanon campaign has, I would argue, brought Israel face to face with the appalling logic of deterrence by conventional means. There is an historical precedent: ancient Rome. Rome, too, had a strategy of deterrence by cost. To work, Rome found, the cost had to be horrifying. In a struggle lasting 120 years, Rome fought three wars against Carthage, its main rival in the Mediterranean. The great Carthaginian general, Hannibal, even penetrated northern Italy and inflicted on Rome a defeat of strategic proportions at Cannae. Rome realized that only total destruction would end the contest: Scipio took Carthage, slaughtered most of its inhabitants and sold the rest into slavery, razed the city and sowed its fields with salt. Scipio’s savagery did actually deter, over the next several hundred years, other ambitious Mediterranean powers. It failed, however, against the Germanic tribes that ultimately swarmed across Rome's frontiers. Why? Because they, like Hizbullah, were nonstate actors.


That leaves me to contemplate Yasir Arafat’s comment when the 1973 war ended with the Egyptian Army surrounded in the Sinai and the Israelis at the gates of Damascus. “You forget,” he told me after I remarked that a military solution didn’t look too promising for the Arab nations. “The Crusades took 200 years.” What time frame is anyone contemplating here?

Who will win in a 200 year conflict? The people with the least to lose. As I said before, the rules of war have changed. The US and Israel are living in the dark ages of the 20th century when might meant right.

Israel Bombs Civilian and Infrastructure Targets

Israel claims it's attacking Hizbullah targets in south Lebanon. In fact they are specifically attacking civilians and infrastructure with the result of impoverishing the Lebanese people. One million have been left homeless, certainly one thousand dead and thousands maimed and injured, overwhelmingly civilians.
All this is justified by rooting out 2 or 3 thousand Hizbullah fighters?
This is typical even of US mainstream press coming out Lebanon.
WaPo
The nine ambulances were parked outside the Lebanese Red Cross. They couldn't leave -- neither by the road north, which was bombed, nor the road south, which was shelled Monday. Blasts thundered across the Tyre sky, and rumors flew with almost equal vigor: No one could walk outside after 10 p.m., no one should stand in the street in groups bigger than three.


That left Qasim Chaalan, a gentle Red Cross volunteer, with a problem: He had promised to take Khadija Tajj al-Din, a 74-year-old woman, in an ambulance from the Jabal Amel Hospital to a school where her relatives had sought refuge, a trip of a couple of miles.

Juan Cole has increasingly harsh words for the Bush Administration, along with many others.
Informed Comment
Human Rights Watch investigations do not bear out the excuse that the high civilian casualty rate is because of Hizbullah hiding among civilians:
    Human Rights Watch researchers found numerous cases in which the IDF launched artillery and air attacks with limited or dubious military objectives but excessive civilian cost. In many cases, Israeli forces struck an area with no apparent military target. In some instances, Israeli forces appear to have deliberately targeted civilians.


[...]Just from observing eyewitness news accounts from Lebanon, I had come to the same conclusion. The Arab American Institute condemned the Bush administration for its insouciance over the Qana massacre. The Israelis have done $2 billion worth of damage to Lebanon. I guess that is fair, one billion for each soldier captured by Hizbullah.

Worse yet, other formerly moderate Muslim voices, such as here, have become increasingly radicalized and shrill about the civilian casualties.

August 06, 2006

The Case For Impeachment

Judiciary Committee member Rep. John Conyers (D-MI), has not had much luck getting his Republican collegues to pay attention, so he rallied an effort of committee Democrats and their staff to put together a comprehensive report of what appears to be a systematic effort of the Bush Administration to circumvent law, the constitution, and any sort of accountability for these actions with the intent to justify the war in Iraq with exaggerated and false information, punish whistleblowers protected by law, commit torture, and engage in systematic violation of civil liberties for American citizens and non-citizens alike.
Conyers is no long calling for impeachment. He says in a quote in an article at TPMmuckraker
"We're not trying to play Department of Justice or prosecutor. We're trying to put [these charges] on the record before too much other history blurs this," Conyers told me. "[We are] making sure that what we see as at least a couple dozen violations of federal statute do not go unnoticed. . . . We're trying to make sure that we have the fullest record of this, so that this won't be the work of industrious historians ten years from now."

Here you can find the full report. Here is an excerpt from the summary:
The Constitution in Crisis; The Downing Street Minutes and Deception, Manipulation, Torture, Retribution, and Coverups in the Iraq War, and Illegal Domestic Surveillance: Final Investigative Report of the House Judiciary Committee Democratic Staff
In brief, we have found that there is substantial evidence the President, the Vice-President and other high ranking members of the Bush Administration misled Congress and the American people regarding the decision to go to war in Iraq; misstated and manipulated intelligence information regarding the justification for such war; countenanced torture and cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment in Iraq; permitted inappropriate retaliation against critics of their Administration; and approved domestic surveillance that is both illegal and unconstitutional. As further detailed in the Report, there is evidence that these actions violate a number of federal laws, including:
  • Making False Statements to Congress, for example, saying you have learned Iraq is attempting to buy uranium from Niger, when you have been warned by the CIA that this is not the case.

  • The War Powers Resolution and Misuse of Government Funds, for example, redeploying troops and initiating bombing raids before receiving congressional authorization.

  • Federal laws and international treaties prohibiting torture and cruel, inhuman, and degrading treatment, for example, ordering detainees to be ghosted and removed, and tolerating and laying the legal ground work for their torture and mistreatment.

  • Federal laws concerning retaliating against witnesses and other individuals, for example, demoting Bunnatine Greenhouse, the chief contracting officer at the Army Corps of Engineers, because she exposed contracting abuses involving Halliburton.

  • Federal requirements concerning leaking and other misuse of intelligence, for example, failing to enforce the executive order requiring disciplining those who leak classified information, whether intentional or not.

  • Federal regulations and ethical requirements governing conflicts of interest, for example, then Attorney General John Aschcroft ’s being personally briefed on FBI interviews concerning possible misconduct by Karl Rove even though Mr. Rove had previously received nearly $750,000 in fees for political work on Mr. Ashcroft ’s campaigns.

  • Violating and the Fourth Amendment, for example intercepting thousands of communications “to or from any person within the United States, ” without obtaining a warrant. The Stored Communications Act of 1986 and the Communications Act of 1934, for example, obtaining millions of U.S. customer telephone records without obtaining
    a subpoena or warrant, without customer consent, and outside of any applicable “emergency exceptions.

  • The National Security Act, for example, failing to keep all Members of the House and Senate Intelligence Committees “fully and currently informed ” of intelligence activities, such as the warrantless surveillance programs.

August 04, 2006

This Administration Hides It's Incompetence Behind Secrecy

This Administration has pretty effectively destroyed the credibiilty of the President in classifying anything that makes them look bad or may lead to being held accountable. Finally GOP Senators are noticing.
New York Times
The Republican chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee lashed out at the White House on Thursday, criticizing attempts by the Bush administration to keep secret parts of a report on the role Iraqi exiles played in building the case for war against Iraq. The chairman, Senator Pat Roberts of Kansas, said his committee had completed the first two parts of its investigation of prewar intelligence. But he chastised the White House for efforts to classify most of the part that examines intelligence provided to the Bush administration by the Iraqi National Congress, an exile group. “I have been disappointed by this administration’s unwillingness to declassify material contained in these reports, material which I believe better informs the public, but that does not — I repeat, does not — jeopardize intelligence operations, sources and methods,” Mr. Roberts said in a statement issued Thursday.


One completed section of the Senate report is said to be a harsh critique of how information from the Iraqi exile group made its way into intelligence community reports, said people who have read the report but spoke on condition of anonymity because it is still classified.

August 03, 2006

The most basic human right

rama
Background
“A very creditable achievement, of which you can be justifiably proud.”
Thus concluded Dr Yusuf Samiullah, Engineering Adviser, Department for International Development (DFID) of the UK govt, in late-1997. He had just completed an inspection tour of environmental improvement works in slum clusters of Howrah, the historically neglected, and now-blighted industrial city across the river from Calcutta, India.
This work was done through a community-based pilot project. The objective of the project was to initiate and demonstrate community participation in taking up much-needed local environmental improvement tasks; and to derive lessons on the opportunities and difficulties confronting such efforts, so as to enable appropriate re-structuring of municipal infrastructure projects.
This pilot project was being taken up as the concluding part of the work of the Social Development group within the Calcutta Environmental Management Strategy & Action Plan (CEMSAP), a project of the state govt. of West Bengal in India, supported by the DFID. The role of the project’s social development group had been to study the impact of environmental degradation in metropolitan Calcutta on the poor, low income and vulnerable sections; and to develop strategies and action plans to address their environmental needs and priorities within city environmental improvement programmes.
The group was instrumental in emphasising that lack of access to adequate supplies of drinking water, compounded by highly inadequate sanitation, was the key environmental problem confronting Calcutta. It was pointed out that the impact of this fell disproportionately on the poor and low income. And that this was a result of the overall disempowered status of such communities. A Community Environmental Management Strategy and Programme was therefore developed and written, which called for the re-design of conventional civic infrastructure projects so as to integrate active participation of the affected communities and their grassroots organisations. The pilot project in Howrah slums was an important means towards taking such action to the ground. Three wards under the Howrah Municipal Corporation, with large slum populations, were assigned for conducting the project.
Several months before his inspection visit, Dr Samiullah had attended a meeting with councillors and officials from Howrah, and community representatives, to discuss plans and procedures for taking up the pilot project in slum neighbourhoods. Impressed with the enthusiasm and promised cooperation of the councillors and community representatives, Dr Samiullah gave his approval to the proposed project and increased its budget to Rs 1 million.
Over the next 7 months, an intensive process of grassroots action was taken up. Community-level meetings were organised, with poor households, local youth and neighbourhood organisations. Local volunteers were deployed in a range of functions. And ultimately, a number of tubewells (hand-pumps) were installed, a tubewells maintenance squad was organised, broken drains were repaired, and several toilets were constructed. And with the toilets lies a tale.
Service latrines
A ‘service latrine’ is a toilet that has to be manually cleaned out, by lowly sweepers. This is an arrangement that was widespread in old towns and cities across India. The image of a person carrying a basket of excreta on his / her head – had been the subject of a call to conscience by Mahatma Gandhi. But it was only in 1986 that the govt. of India finally enacted a law banning such ‘manual scavenging’. Local bodies had to ensure the implementation of this and a programme was subsequently initiated to provide a subsidy for the conversion of service latrines into sanitary toilets.
In 1993, the welfare ministry (which was responsible for enacting and implementing the Act) undertook a survey of the extent to which the law had been implemented in all the states of India. It was found that even the Chief Secretaries of many major states in the country were unaware of the existence of such a law.
The govt. also introduced a programme to be implemented through the urban local bodies to subsidise the conversion of these service latrines into sanitary toilets. This had been implemented for several years in Howrah. However, there were severe shortcomings in implementation. Service latrines continued to be in use on a massive scale in Howrah, with all the attendant adverse environmental health risks to the community and the conservancy workers (apart from the violation of the latter’s human dignity).
The problem was that in many cases, there were a large number of people using the service latrine. In the slums of Howrah, a plot would typically house 15-20 households, and over 100 persons would be using the latrine, typically a hole in the floor of a small raised cubicle-shed. The govt. subsidy scheme was, however, designed keeping a single (5-7 member) household in view. Septic tanks either did not exist, or were non-functional. The slum plots were congested with the hutments, leaving no spare space. Hence service latrines simply continued to exist and be used.
In some of the worst areas, the service latrines made the neighbourhood extremely foul and dangerous. These were the areas where the incidence of water-borne and gastro-intestinal diseases was high, with high infant mortality and morbidity.
Not surprisingly, it was emphasised by the slum communities and the councillors that proper toilets were the most vital need of the people.
Building cooperation, building toilets
To carry out the pilot project, a team was constituted, under my charge in my capacity as social development coordinator of the CEMSAP project. A field office was set up. Prodyut, a political activist cum social worker from the project area, with strong local roots and contacts, was employed to supervise field activity. Two social development professionals were recruited to handle the documentation and administrative aspects. And a couple of students were assigned field liaison tasks.
As coordinator of the pilot project, I was a possessed soul. After a tour through some of the slum localities, where one had to literally walk over a slush of excreta – I felt a flush of awakening. I felt my moment had arrived. While anybody would run far away from and shun such places – except if they had to live there – I decided to remain there, and address this problem of service latrines, come what may. I felt thrilled by the challenge. The apparent insolubility of the problem, its neglect, the foul environment, the revulsion of officials and authorities to engage with this, the unending rebuttals of habitual prejudice- and conflict-oriented perceptions – one of my senior project colleagues had opined “Decent people don’t go to Howrah” – all this only strengthened my resolve. I became completely alienated from the society and city I had been part of. Everything took on a mystic and mythic aura in my consciousness. The poor slumdweller living amidst excreta became my Daridra Narayan, God in the garb of the poor. I had found my God, in the shit. I had found the meaning and purpose of my life. And nothing was going to stop me. And Prodyut was there beside me, to help me in my work.
Problems, options and priorities were discussed with communities, their elected municipal representatives and Corporation officials. Assumptions and habitual perceptions – based on the existing corrupt and insincere institutional culture – were directed at me as coordinator. But I discerned and cut through all this, with my resolve, commitment and energy. The work was too serious to be left hostage to anybody. The project team was reorganised, and local community volunteers were taken on against a stipend.
The technical solution, under the circumstances, was a twin-pit latrine. This meant knocking down the existing toilet structure, cleaning up the spot, constructing two large, deep brick pits and erecting a multi-seat toilet shed block over the pits. The excreta would flow to one pit; the honey-combed brickwork would enable the liquid matter to be absorbed in the soil. After a year’s use by the dwellers, the first pit would become full. The excreta would then flow to the second pit, while the first pit would remain unused, awaiting organic decomposition of the excreta. After another year, the matter in the first pit would become inert soil, which would be removed and the pit’s re-use begun. The soil would be removed by the dwellers and used or sold as compost. And the second pit would then remain disused for a year; and so on. As the plot was very congested, space had to be created to accommodate the two large pits (needed because of the large number of users). Some huts would have to be shifted.
But it was found that it was clean toilets that the people wanted more than anything else. When it became clear to them that the project team did really intend to construct proper toilets - and had no other agenda besides this – they were prepared to do all they could to get this.
Meetings were held with all the households in each slum plot. Cost estimates were prepared for the proposed sanitary toilets. Households committed voluntary labour for the work and its monitoring. The landlord (principal tenant actually) was asked to contribute Rs 5,000 towards the total cost of each unit. A memorandum of understanding was drawn up and signed by the landlord and head of each household, and counter-signed by the local ward councillor. Local contractors were selected through public tender to carry out the work.
The pilot project budget covered the entire cost of constructing the toilets. But the govt. subsidy, of Rs 5,000 per unit, was to be retained by the project team; and this amount together with the landlords’ contributions was to be used to construct more toilets.
Over a period of less than 3 months, 10 toilet blocks were constructed spread over slum pockets of two municipal wards of Howrah. The maximum cost of a unit – under the eagle eyes of the project staff and slum households - was about Rs 22,000.
The lives of hundreds of people had been positively transformed. And very foul spots, in the midst of the metropolis, were rehabilitated. These toilets are all still in existence, in perfect condition, kept spotlessly clean by the proud slum households.
Howrah Pilot Project
But the story does not end there.
I had been commissioned to undertake research and write an article for a UK journal. As the subject of the article, I decided to focus on the existing degraded situation in a large Muslim slum within the pilot project, and outline a vision for community-led redevelopment. I saw this as a good opportunity to root myself in a specific place, and devote myself to actually initiating long-term community action, instead of thinking about such matters, or researching or writing about it. I worked on this simultaneously with the pilot project, employing slum youth to assist in field surveys and to lay the ground for a long-term intervention.
The pilot project was over and the field office was wound up. All the engineering works were completed on time, using every penny of the allocated budget to do as much as possible.
Inspired and spurred by the success of the project and the bonds of cooperation built up with the slum communities, Prodyut and I formed an independent organisation, Howrah Pilot Project (HPP). This would be based in Priya Manna Basti in Howrah, a century-old jute workers’ settlement, that was now home to some 40,000 people, mainly from labouring, Urdu-speaking, Muslim households. From here we would work with the slumdwellers, as concerned and capable citizens, to rebuild the city from the grassroots. HPP would be an organisation whose existence and work was sustained by civic and community consciousness and ownership.
The fee I received for my article provided the start-up fund for the newly-formed HPP to take up its work. I was also awarded a year’s fellowship which enabled me to devote time to the HPP.
Eliminating service latrines
This was August 1997, and the 50th anniversary of India’s independence. I felt that the best way to commemorate the occasion and to pay homage to the memory of Mahatma Gandhi, the father of the nation, was to work to eliminate service latrines from the slums of Howrah. We had after all found and demonstrated the solution to this apparently insoluble problem, which affected thousands of people, and was responsible for severe environmental health risks. I felt like a scientist who has made an earth-shattering new discovery, expanding the frontiers of knowledge and transforming human life. (As a 11-year old, I had read with rapt awe Eve Curie's biography of Madam Curie which my mother had presented on new year's day in 1972, with the inscribed exhortation: "Go through this book like a book worm & may it inspire you to great deeds.")
Through my close association and collaboration with specialists from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, who had also been part of the CEMSAP project, I was asked to join an international research study on environmental health and the urban poor, looking at Howrah slums. The research budget for this was provided to HPP and with this a full-fledged community empowerment programme, focussing on poor women and children, was initiated in PM Basti. The objective – to nurture and build grassroots capabilities and institutions to lead community upliftment and slum redevelopment.
A service latrine elimination programme was also developed by Howrah Pilot Project. Surveys were conducted in slum pockets. Plot-level meetings with households were organised. It was explained that though the pilot project was over, after the successful demonstration of the conversion of service latrines into sanitary toilets, it was now necessary to enable other similar slum households to also avail of this opportunity. The cost factor was explained. With the necessary cost likely to be about Rs 22-25,000 (in the maximum users case), and Rs 5,000 coming from the govt. subsidy and another Rs 5,000 from the landlord, the remaining Rs 12-15,000 would have to be contributed by the user households. It was suggested that this could be through a credit-financing arrangement with a housing finance company. Each household would begin paying something like Rs 50 per month immediately after the toilet was constructed, and repay for about 15 months.
After substantial effort, a leading housing finance company agreed to support this scheme. The loans would be in the name of Howrah Pilot Project, who would take responsibility for the whole venture. Through the CEMSAP project, I had become acquainted with some of the senior officials of the metropolitan development authority. Hence approval of the metropolitan development authority – who would sanction the release of the govt subsidy - was also obtained. They agreed to make available the subsidy for ten toilet units at a time, in advance, provided the programme was approved by the Howrah Municipal Corporation.
The scheme was detailed and submitted to the Howrah Municipal Corporation. One ward was to be taken up for complete elimination of service latrines in slums. And that would enable an appropriate city-wide scaling-up subsequently. HPP would take up, using its own resources, the crucial community organising role. A request was made to the Corporation for early release to HPP of the subsidy due for the 10 units constructed under the CEMSAP pilot project (as earlier authorised and agreed to), so that the work could be started.
A saga of inaction
Nothing happened.
Despite repeated efforts, over many months, and letters and meetings with officials – the service latrine elimination programme was a non-starter.
Much later, it became clear that this had been simply sabotaged by people within the Corporation. There was a happy and neat arrangement between officials and contractors, to appropriate the subsidy. A bogus toilet would be built – which would be non-functional immediately after. The subsidy was then approved, released and pocketed.
The subsidy for the 10 toilets constructed under the CEMSAP pilot project – remains unpaid. For several years HPP retained the landlords’ contributions, awaiting the Corporation’s approval and payment. Finally this was spent on its other community activities.
After about a year’s inaction, another attempt was launched. A proposal was submitted to the state environment department, in response to its public advertisement inviting proposals from NGOs for environmental projects. Based on the self-financing scheme developed earlier by HPP, this proposal requested modest support to HPP to organise the beneficiary communities, and more importantly, sought the environment department’s influence upon Howrah Corporation to initiate the programme.
Nothing came of that either. Notwithstanding Dr Yusuf Samiullah’s congratulatory feedback, with which this account began. Perhaps it had all been too easy then, happened merely because that was a govt. project and municipal involvement had been formally arranged.
Yet another effort was made a year later, with letters being sent to the 40-odd local bodies within metropolitan Calcutta, offering assistance in taking up service latrine elimination in their respective areas. There was no response, except from a small municipality. When we went there for a discussion, we were ultimately told: we are already doing all that’s necessary, there’s no poverty here, try elsewhere.
The story doesn’t end there either. Much water has flowed under the Howrah bridge since then. In early 2000, after severe flooding in slum neighbourhoods because of the choking of a major high drain in south-central Howrah, HPP initiated a community-led programme to clean and maintain the high drain. Detailed surveys were undertaken, with invited professional specialists assisted by local people. The approval in principle was obtained from officials in the govt. of India, as well as a UN agency, to support such a programme. However, the formal proposal for this support would have to be made by Howrah Corporation.
That is yet to happen. The high drain remains choked. When the situation became critical, some patchwork cleaning was done by the Corporation. A sanitary engineer invited by us who inspected the choked high drain told me: in any civilised society, if this kind of thing existed, it is sufficient basis for an arrest warrant to be issued against the mayor for criminal negligence leading to avoidable deaths and suffering. But here, such things are “normal”.
Conclusion
These are only a few examples from Howrah Pilot Project’s experience of the long, unending experience of denial and disregard from institutions that poor slumdwellers face.
But the work of HPP through its centre in Priya Manna Basti continues. Talimi Haq School, a non-formal school for poor and working children, was started in 1998 and this continues. (Talimi Haq means "Right to Education" in Urdu; and also "Truth is Learning". Al-Haq is one of the names of Allah.) In 1999, the school received a special award as a ‘school that cares’ under the aegis of a city newspaper. In 2003 and again in 2004, children from Talimi Haq School participated in an internet communication project on nature with children from schools in the UK . That enabled them to make many visits to the nearby Botanical Gardens (near the eastern end of the Grand Trunk Road).
A women’s spice-making enterprise has been successfully established, which today supplies a range of specialist spices or masalas (like biryani and chaap masalas) for export to America, Europe and Japan. A few slum youth, boys and girls, have gone through an intensive process of skill and leadership development and grown and matured as human beings. A number of volunteers from Calcutta have worked for varying periods and had a rich, transformative educational experience. A lot of goodwill has been created. The work has inspired similar grassroots efforts in other slum localities of Calcutta and Howrah. The whole programme is managed by trained community-based volunteers and its modest fund requirement are met through donations by the founders and other well-wishers, and occasional small grants.
The endeavour continues. The whole experience has been rich in learning for those involved. HPP is a live laboratory, to yield strategic, experience-based action knowledge on poverty and slum community development.
The CEMSAP pilot project had changed my life and Prodyut’s – but I had been personally reluctant to take this up, because after my failed experience of trying to work with others for social ends, I had implicitly slipped into a loner mode. Thus though I was constantly concerned about social questions, I didn’t actually have any truck with anyone, except inside my heart. In the planning phase of the CEMSAP project, I was working closely with other colleagues, but this was like a partnership, and the work was of an intellectual nature. But now, in the absence of anyone else being available to do this, I had to take up leadership and management of a concrete set of activities at the grassroots, and reach out to and relate in differing ways with diverse people. The crossing of the river, and going to Howrah – transformed my life, something I could never have even imagined just before that. Yet this was only something residing deep within me, the plaintive plea of my soul, that the Almighty entrust a poor Muslim child to me, to love and nurture.
Prodyut and I resolved and committed ourselves to devoting ourselves through HPP to PM Basti, come what may. Our early achievements through the pilot project looked on hindsight to have been deceptively easy. All the struggles during that short venture could not compare with the unending ordeal of institutional disregard that the HPP experience had been an apprenticeship and a harsh trial in. Working in a poor, degraded slum in Howrah, controlled by criminalised political cadre - patience, adaptation, and swallowing of pain is taught continuously.
An honest, selfless, idealistic, sincere social interventionist – is an aberration and a caricature in such an area of darkness. Poverty, conflict, social and environmental injustice – all degrade the human fibre, revealing man’s ugliest facets. But amidst poverty can also be found simplicity, trust, beautiful dreams and aspirations, and goodness, a fertile soil to plant and nurture a small sapling of conviction and responsibility. HPP is a small, quiet, cheerful island of hope in PM Basti.
Postscript
The right to defecate is perhaps the most basic human right, after the right to life. In an urban setting, life requires toilets. And human dignity calls for a hygienic, sanitary toilet. As a woman explained, if one had no food to eat one could go out and beg for some food; but could one beg for a toilet? Not having a decent toilet – made life a never-ending nightmare. Most of all for women. But evidently this is not at all a concern for many. They can carry on, regardless. While human dignity is abused, and little children die.

August 02, 2006

The Changing Rules of War

For millennia, the strength and weapons of the opponent in war usually made the difference. But, two times in the past 50 years, the most powerful military nation in the world has been fought to a standstill by rag-tag insurgents using easy to obtain reliable weapons, in particular, the Kalashnikov automatic rifle and the rocket propelled grenade. Now battle field rockets, a weak, unreliable weapon that has been in use for two thousand years, have been more successful than every before.
Now, the notorious army of the Israelis is suffering a similar fate for the second time, in the same country with the same foe. They hope that by destroying infrastructure, the means to fight back and killing and razing all buildings in a buffer zone along the border, they will prevent Hizbullah from firing it's rockets at them. They forget that they did the same thing in 1986, and by 2000, nothing was changed, Hizbullah was stronger than ever. Within five years, Hizbullah armed itself in unprecedented ways.
Modern countries are not willing to pay the price of war. Fanatics are. That is the reason that they will always win. Vietnam fell. Iraq will fall into civil war and fragmentation. Hizbullah will become the most powerful political force in Lebanon. They will rearm someday and send even more effective rockets into Israel. Fanatics are willing to sacrifice generations of their own people to the cause. Modern democracies shudder under a few casualties and the scream of incoming rockets.
The only way to defeat the fanatics is to deprive them of their basis of support. We must win the hearts and minds of the people of Lebanon, Palestine, Afghanistan, Pakistan, all over the Middle East and south Asia if we hope to prevail. Bombing a country to the stone age won't help, it just delays the battle to the next generation and radicalizes the population to accept decimation to win. We in the west can not win that kind of battle. We are unwilling to accept the casualties of hand-to-hand combat every foot of the way and grinding oppressive occupation with a constant and increasingly effective insurgency.
WaPo
The strategy of Israel's (and America's) enemies today is to lure the military superpower into a protracted conflict. To accept the bait, as the Israelis did in assaulting Lebanon and as America did in Iraq, is to risk stepping into a trap. As Lawrence Wright says in his new book, "The Looming Tower," the master of this approach is Osama bin Laden: "His strategy was to continually attack until the U.S. forces invaded; then the mujahadeen would swarm upon them and bleed them until the entire American empire fell from its wounds."


The Israeli and American resolve in this grim summer of war should be: No more falling into traps. In the age of missiles, there's limited value in a "security fence" or "security buffer." The evidence grows that you can't achieve real security without negotiating with your adversaries, and you can't succeed in such negotiations without offering reasonable concessions.


For the Arabs, the opportunity of 2006 lies in the surprising success of Hezbollah and its leader, Hasan Nasrallah. Their resistance on the battlefield makes them more dangerous adversaries -- but also more plausible negotiating partners. Little in Nasrallah's past suggests that he will use his new stature and confidence to encourage indirect negotiations with Israel, but, as 1973 reminds us, the aftermath of war
can produce big surprises. U.S. officials recognize that Nasrallah is likely to emerge as the strongest political force in Beirut, and they hope he will make strategic choices that will build a stronger and more stable Lebanon.


This war is opening a door: Will the combatants have the good sense to walk through it? Will America have the guile to help them?

August 01, 2006

Snubbing Rice's initiative for Cease Fire, Olmert Will Widen Ground War

A forty-eight hour cease fire is supposed to allow civilians to escape. But of course there are no passable roads left and the young and infirm have no way to do so. So there will be more civilian casualties. While the number is at over 500, time will find many more under the debris.
Rice adds lip service to cease fire talks, while Israelis call up more troops. I suspect Olmert knows he has Bush in his pocket, that Rice won't get support from the President.
WaPo
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert vowed Monday that there "will be no cease-fire in the coming days," and his top security officials unanimously approved a widening of Israel's military operations on the ground in southern Lebanon after a four-hour meeting that ended early Tuesday morning, government officials said.


The decision followed Israel's agreement Sunday to suspend air attacks on south Lebanon for 48 hours. About 12 hours after the suspension took effect, Israeli planes launched strikes in support of ground operations near Taibe. Israeli officials said they reserved the right to continue attacks to prevent an immediate threat. [Israel launched airstrikes against southern Lebanese border villages early Tuesday, hitting Bayyada and Mansoureh, the Reuters news agency reported, citing Lebanese security sources.] Hezbollah launched only four rockets into northern Israel on Monday, police and military officials said, a day after firing more than 150.


Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice returned to Washington Monday evening after vowing to push for a U.N. Security Council resolution this week aimed at ending the fighting. State Department officials traveling with her said the resolution would include a cease-fire and the "nearly simultaneous" deployment of international troops to a buffer zone in southern Lebanon.